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Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2017-09-12 16:44:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 121444 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 116.2W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 116.2W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.7W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.2N 117.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.9N 119.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.9N 120.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.1N 121.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.6N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 15.7N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 116.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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