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Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-08-31 22:43:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 312043 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 76.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 76.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 76.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.8N 75.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 34.9N 72.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.8N 69.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 36.7N 67.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 37.6N 63.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.2N 60.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 41.5N 49.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 76.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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