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Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

2021-08-25 22:49:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 252049 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2021 INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 99.4W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 99.4W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 99.1W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.0N 100.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 12.8N 102.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.6N 103.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.7N 105.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.2N 106.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 21.1N 109.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 22.7N 112.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 99.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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