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Tropical Depression Joyce Public Advisory Number 11
2024-09-30 04:36:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 29 2024 000 WTNT31 KNHC 300235 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Joyce Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112024 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 29 2024 ...JOYCE WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 49.6W ABOUT 920 MI...1480 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Joyce was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 49.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest and north is expected on Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Joyce is likely to become a post-tropical remnant low on Monday and dissipate by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-30 01:31:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 292331 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac, located several hundred miles northwest of the Azores, on Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twelve, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form around the middle part of this week while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward. This system is then expected to move northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico during the latter portion of this week. Interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A low-latitude tropical wave located a few hundred miles off the west coast of Africa is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form during the middle or latter part of this week while moving slowly westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-30 01:26:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 292325 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 29 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to gradually develop off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for additional development after that, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or late portions of this week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore the coast for most of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by next weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to additional heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec: Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec during the next couple of days. Gradual development of the disturbance will be possible after that, if the system remains offshore the coast of southern Mexico. The disturbance is forecast to move erratically through mid-week, and then potentially move northward toward the coast later this week. Regardless of formation, heavy rain will be possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics