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Tropical Depression MANUEL Public Advisory Number 11
2013-09-16 04:53:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 160253 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 800 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013 ...MANUEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 104.9W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND MANUEL IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...JALISCO AND NAYARIT. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. A WEATHER STATION IN NEVADO DE COLIMA IN THE STATE OF JALISCO OBSERVED A LITTLE OVER 8 INCHES OF RAIN. STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD BE SUBSIDING DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART
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