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Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Public Advisory Number 2
2018-09-19 22:48:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed Sep 19 2018 556 WTPZ34 KNHC 192047 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192018 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 300 PM MDT Wed Sep 19 2018 ...HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO WITH FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.0N 111.2W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM N OF LORETO MEXICO ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SSW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E was located near latitude 27.0 North, longitude 111.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). On this forecast track, the depression is expected to move inland over northwestern Mexico late this evening with dissipation on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before the system moves inland over northwestern Mexico, however steady weakening is forecast thereafter with dissipation expected on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican states of Sonora and northern Sinaloa, and 2 to 4 inches in Baja California and western Chihuahua. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible in Sonora and northern Sinaloa. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Moisture associated with the depression and eventually its remnants will also lead to areas of heavy rain and a heightened risk of flash flooding in the Southwest United States today through Thursday, and in the southern Plains beginning Friday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Orrison/Blake
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