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Tropical Depression OCTAVE Public Advisory Number 9A
2013-10-15 07:31:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM PDT MON OCT 14 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 150531 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013 1100 PM PDT MON OCT 14 2013 ...OCTAVE WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 112.1W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM N OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OCTAVE OR ITS REMNANTS WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SEA OF CORTES ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...OVER THE MAINLAND MEXICO STATE OF SONORA. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH OCTAVE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURF...SWELLS WILL CONTINUE AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BUT SHOULD SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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