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Tropical Depression Priscilla Public Advisory Number 3
2019-10-20 22:37:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 202037 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Priscilla Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019 400 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 ...PRISCILLA MAKES LANDFALL EAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND WEAKENS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 104.0W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ENE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for southwestern Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of recently downgraded Tropical Depression Priscilla was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 104.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through tonight until Priscilla dissipates inland over southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected now that Priscilla is inland over southwestern Mexico, and the small cyclone is expected to dissipate later tonight or early Monday morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Priscilla and its remnants are expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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