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Tropical Depression VANCE Public Advisory Number 25
2014-11-05 09:38:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 AM PST WED NOV 05 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 050838 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 100 AM PST WED NOV 05 2014 ...VANCE WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 106.9W ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM NW OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF VANCE OR ITS REMNANTS WILL MOVE INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND VANCE WILL LIKELY BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE COMBINATION OF VANCE AND MOISTURE SPREADING NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES THROUGH TODAY OVER THE STATES OF SINALOA...NAYARIT...AND DURANGO IN WESTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY VANCE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...700 AM PST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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