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Tropical Storm ALVIN Forecast Advisory Number 7

2013-05-17 04:36:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI MAY 17 2013 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 170235 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012013 0300 UTC FRI MAY 17 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 110.8W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 110.8W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 10.2N 111.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.0N 113.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.7N 114.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.1N 115.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 12.3N 121.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 12.0N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 110.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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