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Tropical Storm BILL Public Advisory Number 1
2015-06-16 04:08:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 000 WTNT32 KNHC 160208 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED AS TROPICAL STORM BILL FORMS... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 94.2W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSE OF GALVESTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of Texas from Baffin Bay to High Island. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baffin Bay to High Island Texas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bill was located near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 94.2 West. Bill is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track the center of Bill is expected to make landfall in the warning area along the Texas coast Tuesday morning and move inland over south-central Texas Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible before landfall. Weakening is forecast after the center moves inland on Tuesday, and Bill is expected to weaken to a tropical depression Tuesday night. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bill is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma and 2 to 4 inches over western Louisiana and western Arkansas, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches in eastern Texas. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Upper Texas coast...2 to 4 feet Western Louisiana coast...1 to 2 feet The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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