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Tropical Storm BLAS Forecast Advisory Number 4

2016-07-03 22:35:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 03 2016 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 032035 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 2100 UTC SUN JUL 03 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 111.4W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 111.4W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 12.8N 113.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 13.4N 115.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.9N 117.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.3N 120.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.5N 124.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.8N 128.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.4N 132.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 111.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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