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Tropical Storm Bud Forecast Advisory Number 16
2018-06-13 16:56:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 13 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 131456 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC WED JUN 13 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SANTA FE TO LA PAZ... MEXICO... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.8W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 108.8W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.7W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.1N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.1N 109.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.4N 109.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.2N 109.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 29.3N 109.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N 106.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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