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Tropical Storm Bud Forecast Advisory Number 18

2018-06-14 06:18:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 140418 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18...RETRANSMITTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SANTA FE TO LA PAZ... MEXICO... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.1W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.1W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.4N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.6N 109.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.3N 110.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.8N 109.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.0N 108.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 109.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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