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Tropical Storm CARLOS Forecast Advisory Number 5
2015-06-11 22:37:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUN 11 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 112037 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 2100 UTC THU JUN 11 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.3W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.3W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 100.3W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.3N 100.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.6N 100.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 90SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.9N 100.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.1N 101.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.7N 102.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 105.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 100.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY
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