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Tropical Storm CARLOS Forecast Advisory Number 7
2015-06-12 10:50:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUN 12 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 120849 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 0900 UTC FRI JUN 12 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.8W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.8W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 100.6W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.9N 100.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.1N 101.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.3N 101.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.6N 101.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.6N 103.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.2N 106.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.4N 107.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 100.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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