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Tropical Storm CARLOS Public Advisory Number 26A

2015-06-17 07:39:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 170538 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 100 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 ...CARLOS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...DECAYING RAPIDLY... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 104.7W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 104.7 West. Carlos is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), which is expected to continue for the next day or so until dissipation. Maximum sustained winds have to decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast and Carlos could become a tropical depression later today and dissipate by tonight. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.26 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area today. RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce heavy rains in the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Durango, and Sinaloa with rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible through Friday. Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are also possible. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of higher terrain. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or two. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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