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Tropical Storm CELIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31
2016-07-14 10:48:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 14 2016 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 140848 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016 0900 UTC THU JUL 14 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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