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Tropical Storm DARBY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33
2016-07-19 22:32:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 192032 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 2100 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 35(44) 7(51) X(51) X(51) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 10(36) 2(38) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15(30) 2(32) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 6(18) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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