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Tropical Storm DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 4
2015-07-12 10:31:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 120831 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 0900 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM SINCE WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.1W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.1W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 100.5W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.4N 102.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.4N 104.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.0N 105.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.6N 107.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.8N 109.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 110.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 101.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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