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Tropical Storm DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 5
2015-07-12 16:45:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 121445 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 1500 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 101.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.1N 103.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.8N 104.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.3N 106.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.8N 107.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N 109.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 110SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.7N 110.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.3N 113.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 101.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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