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Tropical Storm DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 6
2015-07-12 22:51:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 122051 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 2100 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.0W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 40SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.0W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 102.5W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.2N 104.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 20SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.8N 106.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.2N 107.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.7N 108.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.9N 109.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 20.9N 114.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 103.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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