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Tropical Storm DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 9

2015-07-13 16:45:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 13 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 131445 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 1500 UTC MON JUL 13 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 105.6W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.8N 108.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 109.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 109.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.7N 112.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.2N 115.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 22.7N 118.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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