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Tropical Storm Daniel Forecast Discussion Number 7
2018-06-25 16:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 251433 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Daniel Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 800 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 Convection associated with Daniel is gradually diminishing as the cyclone moves over cooler water, with the remaining convection just to the west or southwest of the center. The initial intensity is reduced to 35 kt based on various subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates. Daniel should continue to weaken over sea surface temperatures of 23-24C, with the system expected to drop below tropical storm strength in the next 12 h and to degenerate to a remnant low by 36 h. The cyclone is starting its expected left turn with the initial motion now 315/8. A combination of a mid- to upper-level low to the west-southwest and a low- to mid-level ridge to the north should cause Daniel to turn west-northwestward to westward during the next 36 h, with the westward motion continuing until the cyclone dissipates. The new track forecast is similar to the previous forecast and is close to the center of the guidance envelope through 48 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1500Z 19.0N 117.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 26/0000Z 19.6N 118.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 26/1200Z 20.1N 120.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 27/0000Z 20.2N 122.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1200Z 20.3N 124.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1200Z 20.0N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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