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Tropical Storm Dolores Public Advisory Number 6A
2021-06-19 19:36:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 191736 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dolores Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042021 100 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 ...DOLORES'S CENTER MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE MEXICAN STATE OF JALISCO... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 103.9W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSW OF GUADALAJARA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for the coast of Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Cabo Corrientes to Escuinapa Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was located inland over Mexico near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 103.9 West. Dolores is moving faster toward the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Dolores will move farther inland across the Mexican states of Jalisco and Nayarit. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected this afternoon and tonight while the center moves inland over the mountainous terrain of west-central Mexico. Dolores is likely to dissipate over west-central Mexico on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. An inland station in the mountains at Sierra Manantlan reported a wind gust to 67 mph (108 km/h) during the past few hours. A station at Colima reported a wind gust to 52 mph (84 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Dolores can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring within the warning area and will continue to spread inland across portions of west-central Mexico through tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area this evening through Sunday morning. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Dolores will produce heavy rainfall of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and southern Sinaloa through the weekend. This will likely produce life threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Additionally, 2 to 4 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches is expected for western Oaxaca. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the southwestern coast of Mexico will gradually subside as the center of Dolores moves farther inland. SURF: Swells generated by Dolores will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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