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Tropical Storm ESTELLE Forecast Advisory Number 10
2016-07-17 22:48:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 172047 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 2100 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 113.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.6N 115.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.0N 117.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.4N 119.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.0N 123.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.0N 128.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 133.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 112.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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