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Tropical Storm ESTELLE Forecast Advisory Number 12
2016-07-18 10:44:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUL 18 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 180844 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 0900 UTC MON JUL 18 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 114.0W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 20SW 70NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 114.0W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 113.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.7N 115.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 20SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.3N 117.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N 119.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.2N 121.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.2N 125.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 22.0N 130.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 114.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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