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Tropical Storm ESTELLE Forecast Advisory Number 16
2016-07-19 10:31:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 190831 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 0900 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 117.6W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 80NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 210SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 117.6W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 117.1W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 119.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.3N 121.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.7N 123.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.3N 126.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.1N 131.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.0N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 28.5N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 117.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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