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Tropical Storm ESTELLE Forecast Advisory Number 5
2016-07-16 16:46:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 16 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 161446 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 1500 UTC SAT JUL 16 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.0W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.0W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.4N 111.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.8N 112.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.2N 114.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.1N 117.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 121.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N 126.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 109.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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