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Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-10-20 04:39:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 200239 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EPSILON. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 55.3W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 60SE 0SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 60SE 240SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 55.3W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 55.3W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.1N 55.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 90SE 0SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.5N 56.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...270NE 100SE 40SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 28.3N 58.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...270NE 110SE 60SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.1N 59.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 70NW. 34 KT...210NE 100SE 80SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.4N 60.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.3N 61.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 32.9N 62.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 36.4N 60.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 55.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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