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Tropical Storm Erick Forecast Advisory Number 7
2019-07-29 04:47:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 290247 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062019 0300 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 133.1W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 133.1W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 132.4W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 11.9N 135.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 12.5N 138.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.2N 141.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N 143.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.1N 147.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.0N 152.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 16.5N 157.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 133.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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