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Tropical Storm Erick Forecast Advisory Number 8
2019-07-29 10:40:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 290840 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062019 0900 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 134.5W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 134.5W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 133.8W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.2N 136.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 12.8N 139.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.5N 142.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.1N 144.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.3N 148.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 153.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 16.9N 158.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 134.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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