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Tropical Storm Fernand Public Advisory Number 4A
2019-09-04 07:50:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 040550 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fernand Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 100 AM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 ...FERNAND EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 96.7W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SE OF LA PESCA MEXICO ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM NE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. Interests elsewhere along the eastern coast of Mexico and the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 96.7 West. Fernand is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a track toward the west-northwest is anticipated today and on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Fernand is expected to cross the northeastern coast of Mexico by tonight. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight increase in intensity is possible before landfall. Once inland, weakening is expected, and Fernand should dissipate in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center mainly to the west of the center. Satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that tropical-storm-force winds are are just offshore the coast of northeastern Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are already very near the coast within the warning area and will continue to increase today, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Squalls with gusts to tropical storm force are likely north of the warning area along portions of the lower Texas coast. RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday: Northeast Mexico: Central Tamaulipas and southern Nuevo Leon: 6 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches in the Sierra Madre Oriental. Northern Tamaulipas and northern Nuevo Leon: 3 to 6 inches. This rainfall may cause life-threatening mudslides and flash floods. South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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