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Tropical Storm Florence Forecast Advisory Number 64
2018-09-15 10:48:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018 305 WTNT21 KNHC 150848 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 64 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 0900 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO SOUND... INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO SOUND INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 79.5W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 79.5W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 79.3W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 33.6N 80.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 33.9N 81.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.1N 82.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 37.0N 83.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 40.5N 80.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 43.5N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 47.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 79.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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