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Tropical Storm Florence Forecast Advisory Number 65
2018-09-15 16:38:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018 763 WTNT21 KNHC 151438 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 65 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 1500 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER AND NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO SOUND...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO SOUND INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 79.6W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 80SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 79.6W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 79.5W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 33.6N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 34.4N 81.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 36.0N 82.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 38.0N 82.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 41.3N 76.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 44.3N 63.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 48.5N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 79.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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