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Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory Number 4
2018-07-27 16:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 27 2018 903 WTPZ23 KNHC 271431 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082018 1500 UTC FRI JUL 27 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 128.4W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 128.4W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 127.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.0N 130.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.2N 132.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.7N 135.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 17.5N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 128.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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