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Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33
2017-08-28 16:49:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 281449 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 2(16) X(16) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 1(15) 1(16) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 17(22) 3(25) 1(26) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 12(23) 1(24) X(24) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 11(22) 1(23) X(23) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 11(15) 17(32) 7(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 12(14) 3(17) 1(18) SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 18(27) 2(29) X(29) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 15(25) 12(37) 1(38) X(38) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAMERON LA 34 1 3( 4) 16(20) 16(36) 8(44) 1(45) X(45) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 14(26) X(26) 1(27) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JASPER TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KOUNTZE TX 34 3 1( 4) 6(10) 13(23) 9(32) 1(33) X(33) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KOUNTZE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 20 2(22) 10(32) 11(43) 7(50) X(50) X(50) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GALVESTON TX 50 2 1( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HOUSTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FREEPORT TX 50 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FREEPORT TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 950W 50 4 3( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GFMX 280N 950W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 1 X( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MATAGORDA TX 34 60 6(66) 3(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) MATAGORDA TX 50 2 X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT O CONNOR 34 17 4(21) 3(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) PORT O CONNOR 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKPORT TX 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 18 4(22) 4(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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