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Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36
2017-08-29 10:59:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 290859 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GULFPORT MS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) STENNIS MS 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) BURAS LA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 9(18) 1(19) X(19) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 3( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) GFMX 280N 910W 34 5 7(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BATON ROUGE LA 34 3 6( 9) 12(21) 8(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 4 9(13) 11(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 5( 7) 17(24) 14(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LAFAYETTE LA 34 6 12(18) 20(38) 7(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 34 6 14(20) 19(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 930W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) FORT POLK LA 34 4 6(10) 23(33) 8(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LAKE CHARLES 34 13 19(32) 21(53) 4(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) LAKE CHARLES 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAMERON LA 34 31 23(54) 13(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) CAMERON LA 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) JASPER TX 34 4 7(11) 17(28) 5(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KOUNTZE TX 34 10 12(22) 14(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 22 17(39) 13(52) 2(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GALVESTON TX 50 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HOUSTON TX 34 10 6(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) AUSTIN TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FREEPORT TX 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 63 19(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) GFMX 280N 950W 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MATAGORDA TX 34 15 3(18) 2(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) PORT O CONNOR 34 8 1( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ROCKPORT TX 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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