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Tropical Storm Ileana Public Advisory Number 7
2018-08-06 10:58:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Mon Aug 06 2018 427 WTPZ31 KNHC 060858 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112018 400 AM CDT Mon Aug 06 2018 ...ILEANA GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 100.3W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula. A Tropical Storm Watch has also been issued for the southern tip of Baja California Sur from Los Barilles to Todo Santos, including Cabo San Lucas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Los Barilles to Todo Santos Mexico A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. A watch is issued before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located by the Acapulco radar near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 100.3 West. Ileana is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue into Wednesday. On the forecast track, Ileana's center is forecast to move parallel to and just offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and Ileana is forecast to become a hurricane by Tuesday morning. Gradual weakening is expected to begin Tuesday night, and Ileana is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday afternoon or evening due to its proximity to much-larger Tropical Storm John located to its west. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area tonight and early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area late today through early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area over southern Baja California Sur Wednesday morning. RAINFALL: Ileana is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches through Tuesday night. These rains may cause flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will be affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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