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Tropical Storm Ileana Public Advisory Number 8A
2018-08-06 19:39:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Mon Aug 06 2018 472 WTPZ31 KNHC 061739 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112018 100 PM CDT Mon Aug 06 2018 ...RAINBANDS OF ILEANA NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.7N 102.7W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Los Barilles to Todo Santos Mexico A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. A watch is issued before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 102.7 West. Ileana is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday, with a continued west-northwestward track at a reduced forward speed into Wednesday. On the forecast track, Ileana's center is forecast to move parallel to and just offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico through early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Ileana is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane later today. Gradual weakening is expected to begin Tuesday night, and Ileana is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday afternoon or evening due to its proximity to the much larger Tropical Storm or Hurricane John located to its southwest. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area tonight and early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area through early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area over southern Baja California Sur by Tuesday night or early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Ileana is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches through Tuesday night. These rains may cause flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will be affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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