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Tropical Storm JAVIER Public Advisory Number 8
2016-08-09 04:45:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 090245 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 900 PM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 ...JAVIER WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... ...HURRICANE WATCH DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 109.7W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Loreto * Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 109.7 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier will pass near or over the southern tip of the Baja California tonight, and move near the west coast of Baja California Sur on Tuesday. Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength will be possible while the center passes near the southern Baja California peninsula tonight and early Tuesday. A weakening trend is forecast to begin by Tuesday afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. Reports from the NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the minimum central pressure is estimated to be 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa and southern Sonora through Wednesday morning, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula later tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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