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Tropical Storm John Public Advisory Number 14

2024-09-26 10:34:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 AM CST Thu Sep 26 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 260834 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm John Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 300 AM CST Thu Sep 26 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD... ...CATASTROPHIC LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 102.5W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from west of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to east of Tecpan de Galeana * West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm John was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 102.5 West. John is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today, followed by a gradual turn to the northwest by this evening. On the forecast track, the center of John is forecast to approach and move along the coast of southwestern Mexico or just inland on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. John is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane later today, with additional strengthening expected until the center moves along the coast or inland on Friday and weaken to a depression Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Friday, Tropical Storm John is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches with isolated totals around 30 inches across portions of the Mexican States of Guerrero, Oaxaca and Michoacan. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with John, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected along the coast within the hurricane warning area by tonight or early Friday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength later this morning, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are currently occurring over portions of the coast within the tropical storm warning area, and should continue through today. SURF: Swells associated with John are forecast to continue to affect the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico through the week, with the potential for dangerous surf and rip currents. Please see local statements for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Roberts


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Tropical Storm John Forecast Advisory Number 14

2024-09-26 10:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 260833 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 0900 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 102.5W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 15SE 15SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 120SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 330SE 240SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 102.5W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 102.3W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.2N 102.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 120SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.8N 103.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.8N 103.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 90SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.7N 104.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.2N 106.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 102.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 26/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Summary for Hurricane Helene (AT4/AL092024)

2024-09-26 07:56:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HELENE MOVING NORTHWARD AND EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST... ...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION... As of 1:00 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 the center of Helene was located near 23.7, -86.5 with movement N at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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