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Tropical Storm KARL Forecast Advisory Number 10
2016-09-16 22:45:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 162045 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 2100 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 35.6W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 30SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 35.6W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 35.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 37.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...170NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.0N 39.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.0N 42.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.0N 45.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.0N 50.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 40SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 25.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 35.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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