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Tropical Storm KARL Forecast Advisory Number 11
2016-09-17 04:48:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 170248 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 37.0W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 37.0W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 36.4W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.5N 38.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 41.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.5N 44.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.5N 46.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 22.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 25.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 37.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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