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Tropical Storm Karina Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-09-13 22:35:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 132035 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162020 2100 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 116.0W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 100SE 130SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 116.0W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.6W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 117.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 120SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.1N 118.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 100SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.8N 120.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 121.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.2N 122.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.9N 123.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 22.5N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N 128.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 116.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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