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Tropical Storm Kristy Forecast Advisory Number 15

2018-08-10 16:38:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 10 2018 848 WTPZ23 KNHC 101438 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132018 1500 UTC FRI AUG 10 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 129.8W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 129.8W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 129.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.9N 129.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.9N 129.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.6N 129.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.1N 130.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 23.3N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 24.0N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 24.5N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 129.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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