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Tropical Storm Lorena Forecast Advisory Number 4
2019-09-18 10:57:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 180857 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019 0900 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 103.0W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 80SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 60SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 103.0W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 102.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.4N 104.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 104.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.4N 105.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.1N 106.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.5N 108.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 23.2N 111.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.6N 112.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 103.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 18/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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