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Tropical Storm MANUEL Public Advisory Number 10
2013-09-15 22:42:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 152041 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 200 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013 ...MANUEL WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL NEAR MANZANILLO... ...RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 104.3W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM N OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM WNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ZIHANTANEJO TO MANZANILLO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST OF MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ----------------------ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM N OF MANZANILLO MEXICO RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...JALISCO AND NAYARIT. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF MANUEL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINSKY
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