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Tropical Storm MANUEL Public Advisory Number 16
2013-09-18 16:41:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT WED SEP 18 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 181440 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 800 AM PDT WED SEP 18 2013 ...MANUEL BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.4N 107.8W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF MAZATLAN MEXICO ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO SAN LUCAS TO SAN EVARISTO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. MANUEL IS FORECAST TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE SEA OF CORTEZ DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. MANUEL IS ALSO FORECAST TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF NAYARIT AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY LATE THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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