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Tropical Storm MANUEL Public Advisory Number 6A
2013-09-15 01:40:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM PDT SAT SEP 14 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 142339 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 500 PM PDT SAT SEP 14 2013 ...MANUEL GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ARE POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 102.5W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...90 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MANUEL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.5 WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...MANUEL SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...90 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM...MOSTLY NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...A SHIP LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF MANUEL REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 50 MPH...85 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA SOON. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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